Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters (2024)

Feb 12, 2024

At $34 trillion and rising, the national debt threatens America’s economic future. Here are the top ten reasons why the national debt matters.

  1. Trillion dollar deficits are now the norm. Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters (1)

    The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects that the U.S. government will run trillion-dollar deficits over the next 10 years, resulting in a cumulative deficit of $20.0 trillion between 2025 and 2034.

  2. Interest costs are growing rapidly. Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters (2)

    Interest costs were $659 billion in 2023 and are projected to rise to $1.6 trillion by 2034. In 2023 alone, the United States spent more on net interest costs than it did on Medicaid and Income Security Programs.

  3. Key investments in our future are at a risk. Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters (3)

    Higher interest costs could crowd out important public investments that can fuel economic growth — priority areas like education, R&D, and infrastructure. A nation saddled with debt will have less to invest in its own future.

  4. Rising debt means fewer economic opportunities for Americans. Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters (4)

    Rising debt reduces business investment and slows economic growth. It also increases expectations of higher rates of inflation and erosion of confidence in the U.S. dollar. The federal government should not allow budget imbalances to harm the economy and families across the country.

  5. Less flexibility to respond to crises. Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters (5)

    On its current path, the United States is at greater risk of a fiscal crisis, and high amounts of debt could leave policymakers with much less flexibility to deal with unexpected events. If the country faces another major recession like that of 2007–2009, it will be more difficult to recover.

  6. Protecting the essential safety net. Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters (6)

    The unsustainable fiscal path threatens the safety net and the most vulnerable in American society. If the government does not have sufficient resources, essential programs like Medicaid and Social Security could be put in jeopardy.

  7. A solid fiscal foundation leads to economic growth. Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters (7)

    A solid fiscal outlook provides a foundation for a growing, thriving economy. Putting the nation on a sustainable fiscal path creates a positive environment for growth, opportunity, and prosperity. With a strong fiscal foundation, the United States will have increased access to capital, more resources for private and public investments, improved consumer and business confidence, and a stronger safety net.

  8. The national debt is a bipartisan priority for Americans. Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters (8)

    Three out of every four voters agree that the national debt should be a top three priority for lawmakers.

  9. Many solutions exist! Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters (9)

    The good news is that there are plenty of solutions to choose from. The Peterson Foundation’s Solutions Initiative brought together policy organizations from across the political spectrum to develop long-term fiscal plans. From budget reform to national security spending to overhauling our tax system, there are comprehensive plans that make placing the nation on a strong, sustainable fiscal footing possible.

  10. The sooner we act, the easier the path. Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters (10)

    It makes sense to get started soon. According to CBO, addressing high and rising debt sooner rather than later means that smaller policy changes would be required to achieve long-term objectives. The benefits of reducing deficits sooner include a smaller accumulated debt and therefore less risk to long-term economic growth and stability. Like any debt problem, the sooner you start to address it, the easier it is to solve.

Addressing the national debt is an essential part of securing America’s economic future. These key fiscal and economic issues should be at the forefront of the policy conversation in Washington, and leaders should seize the opportunity to pursue sensible reforms that will put the U.S. long-term fiscal outlook on a sustainable path.

Expert Views: Fiscal Commission

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Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters (2024)

FAQs

Top 10 Reasons Why the National Debt Matters? ›

Tax cuts, stimulus programs, increased government spending, and decreased tax revenue caused by widespread unemployment generally account for sharp rises in the national debt. Comparing a country's debt to its gross domestic product (GDP) reveals the country's ability to pay down its debt.

What are the 3 major factors causing the national debt to grow? ›

Tax cuts, stimulus programs, increased government spending, and decreased tax revenue caused by widespread unemployment generally account for sharp rises in the national debt. Comparing a country's debt to its gross domestic product (GDP) reveals the country's ability to pay down its debt.

What makes up the most significant portion of national debt? ›

At the end of September 2023, domestic creditors held 77 percent of the outstanding debt held by the public. Foreign creditors held the remaining 23 percent. The Federal Reserve typically accounts for a significant proportion of debt held by the public owned by domestic investors.

At what point is the US debt too much? ›

For example, the Penn-Wharton Budget Model noted in a report from October that "the U.S. debt held by the public cannot exceed about 200 percent of GDP of GDP even under today's generally favorable market conditions."

How am I impacted by national debt? ›

More government bonds can often lead to higher interest rates and lower stock market returns. When the U.S. government issues more Treasury securities to cover its budget deficit, the market supply of bonds increases and investors tend to demand a higher interest rate to compensate for the increased risk.

Is the US debt actually a problem? ›

Is the US national debt actually a problem? While it exceeds $34 trillion — 122% of the US gross domestic product — these numbers don't necessarily point to a looming disaster. The $20 trillion in new debt added in the last 14 years may not be bringing us closer to a day of reckoning.

Why is the US debt not a problem? ›

The government can easily service its debt because of its unlimited taxing authority and ability to issue more US Treasury securities to repay maturing securities.

What are the key drivers of the national debt? ›

The broader trends of an aging population, rising health care costs, rising costs of servicing the debt, and lower economic growth and government revenues are the primary drivers of the rising national debt.

Who does the United States owe the biggest share of the national debt to? ›

Japan owns the most at $1.1 trillion, followed by China, with $859 billion, and the United Kingdom at $668 billion. In isolation, this $7.4 trillion amount is a lot, said Scott Morris, a senior fellow at the Center for Global Development.

How much does the US owe its citizens? ›

The $34 trillion gross federal debt includes debt held by the public as well as debt held by federal trust funds and other government accounts. In very basic terms, this can be thought of as debt that the government owes to others plus debt that it owes to itself.

When was the last time the US had a balanced budget? ›

The U.S. has experienced a fiscal year-end budget surplus five times in the last 50 years, most recently in 2001. When there is no deficit or surplus due to spending and revenue being equal, the budget is considered balanced .

Who owns the national debt? ›

Who owns the U.S. debt? There are two basic categories of debt owners: 1) the public, which includes foreign investors and domestic investors and, 2) federal accounts, also known as "intragovernmental holdings." Each category is explained below.

Who is buying US debt now? ›

The international buying appetite has been falling over the past 10 years (dropping from 40% to the current 30%). The major international owners of US debt include Japan ($1.1T), China, UK, Belgium, Switzerland, Cayman Islands and smaller amounts from the rest of the world.

Does national debt cause inflation? ›

Yes, national debts affect inflation rates—but so do many other items.

What country has the least debt? ›

Countries with the Lowest National Debt
  • Brunei. 3.2%
  • Afghanistan. 7.8%
  • Kuwait. 11.5%
  • Democratic Republic of Congo. 15.2%
  • Eswatini. 15.5%
  • Palestine. 16.4%
  • Russia. 17.8%

What are the three major drivers of the national debt? ›

Changing demographics of an aging population, increasing healthcare costs, and rapidly growing interest payments are the main drivers of U.S. debt.

What factors cause world debt levels to rise? ›

In advanced economies, fiscal deficits soared as countries saw revenues collapse due to the recession and put in place sweeping fiscal measures as COVID-19 spread. Public debt rose 19 percentage points of GDP, in 2020, an increase like that seen during the global financial crisis, over two years: 2008 and 2009.

What factors contribute to debt? ›

What are the main causes of debt?
  • Low income or underemployment. ...
  • Divorce and relationship breakdown. ...
  • Poor money management. ...
  • High costs of living. ...
  • Overuse of credit cards. ...
  • Unexpected expenses. ...
  • Declining health and medical expenses. ...
  • Job loss.

Why will US debt continue to rise? ›

The mismatch between revenues and spending will continue to grow. The COVID-19 pandemic and legislative response to mitigate its impact led to a significant amount of federal borrowing; however, the primary driver behind the nation's rising debt is the structural mismatch between federal receipts and outlays.

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