Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead (2024)

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When it comes to retirement, Americans have a new number in mind — $1.46 million — for how much they think they will need to live comfortably, according to new research from Northwestern Mutual.

That estimate is up 53% since 2020, when Americans said they would need $951,000, as the cost of living has surged in recent years. It is also up 15% from last year, when respondents said they would need $1.27 million.

For many savers, that goal may sound daunting, particularly as U.S. adults have an average of $88,400 currently saved toward retirement, the study found. Likewise, a recent CNBC survey showed that 53% of Americans feel like they are behind on their retirement savings.

However, experts say having a "magic number" in mind should not be a priority when planning for your retirement.

"The number isn't the emphasis," said John Roland, a certified financial planner and private wealth advisor at Northwestern Mutual's Beyond Financial Advisors.

"That retirement number is really just a starting point for a broader conversation on how to make clear, competent decisions in that phase of your financial life when you're distributing money versus when you're accumulating money," he said.

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Fidelity Investments, the nation's largest provider of 401(k) savings plans, has moved away from providing broad estimates for what is needed to retire, said Rita Assaf, vice president of retirement products at Fidelity.

"There is no one size fits all," Assaf said.

She said your income likely differs from other people's. Other factors — such as how much of your income you hope to replace in retirement, where you plan to live, the lifestyle you plan to have, your health-care costs, and longevity — will all impact the actual number you will need.

"It really depends on your personal situation," Assaf said. "We do think having a retirement plan helps with that, but it's got to be a personal retirement plan."

The number experts say to focus on

Financial advisors agree that having a high savings rate, along with appropriate asset allocations, is one of the most significant components of building wealth. That's the number to focus on, they say.

Fidelity provides a framework for evaluating your retirement savings progress based on your age.

The framework includes saving your salary by age 30, which then increases to twice your salary by age 35, three times by 40 and continues to go up until the goal of 10 times by age 67.

"That may or may not be feasible depending on where you're at," Assaf said of the savings goals. "But it just gives an easier view of what to do."

The framework assumes that the investor will start saving at age 25 and save 15% annually.

Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead (1)

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Recent retirement research from Vanguard recommends that workers ramp up their annual retirement savings rate to 12% to 15% of their incomes and invest in an appropriate asset mix for their ages. Doing so can help improve their sustainable investment rate — the highest level of pre-retirement income they can replace.

"I would much rather have clients that save 15% of their income and get a 5% rate of return than save 1% of their income and get a 15% rate of return," Roland said.

He said that to save money, you need not spend it, a concept emphasized in the book "The Millionaire Next Door."

"Many people who have significant wealth, you would never know because they don't look visibly wealthy," Roland said.

"Those are the people that, as they save and accumulate wealth, oftentimes have accumulated more than they ever anticipated," he said.

If setting your retirement savings deferral rate to 15% now feels like too much of a financial stretch, you may instead try to boost your contributions by 1% per year. Experts say incremental increases can make a big difference in the long run.

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Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead (2024)

FAQs

Americans think they need almost $1.5 million to retire. Experts say to focus on another number instead? ›

Experts say to focus on another number instead. Americans' "magic number" savings goal for retirement has increased by over 50% since 2020. But experts say the secret to building true wealth is having a high savings rate.

What is the new magic number for retirement in the US? ›

Here's how much you would need to put into a retirement account each month, starting at different ages, to reach the $1.46 million “magic number” by age 65, according to Northwestern Mutual's “Planning & Progress Study 2024.” Figures are based on a 7 percent average return compounded daily.

Do Americans think they need $1.46 million to retire comfortably? ›

When it comes to retirement, Americans have a new number in mind — $1.46 million — for how much they think they will need to live comfortably, according to new research from Northwestern Mutual.

Is 1.5 m enough to retire? ›

The 4% rule suggests that a $1.5 million portfolio will provide for at least 30 years approximately $60,000 a year before taxes for you to live on in retirement.

What percentage of Americans have saved enough for retirement? ›

57% of Americans aged 18 to 29 have retirement savings, but only 24% feel on track
AgeAny retirement savingsRetirement savings on track
30–4472%32%
45–5981%34%
60+88%41%
Overall72%31%
1 more row
May 3, 2024

What is the 120 rule for retirement? ›

The 120-age investment rule states that a healthy investing approach means subtracting your age from 120 and using the result as the percentage of your investment dollars in stocks and other equity investments.

What is the magic number digit? ›

Magic Number in Mathematics

For example, 325 is a magic number because the sum of its digits (3+2+5) is 10, and again sum up the resultant (1+0), we get a single digit (1) as the result. Hence, the number 325 is a magic number. Some other magic numbers are 1234, 226, 10, 1, 37, 46, 55, 73, etc.

Is $3,000,000 enough to retire? ›

Yes, if you've managed to gather $3 million to fund your retirement, this should be more than enough to see you through in most cases.

Will $3 million be enough to retire in 40 years? ›

For a $3 million retirement fund, anticipate a monthly income of $6,250 over 40 years, barring investment growth or loss. Factors such as lifestyle choices, inflation, and healthcare costs will influence how long your savings last.

Is $4,000,000 enough to retire? ›

Looking to retire on $4 million? If you leave work at 61, the average retirement age as of the latest Gallup data, you'll have more than enough to see you through to a life expectancy of 90 or even 100. Across 29 years, $4 million could equate to a generous $11,494 a month.

What is the average Social Security check? ›

Social Security offers a monthly benefit check to many kinds of recipients. As of December 2023, the average check is $1,767.03, according to the Social Security Administration – but that amount can differ drastically depending on the type of recipient. In fact, retirees typically make more than the overall average.

How long will 200k last in retirement? ›

How long will $200k last in retirement?
Retirement ageLength of time covered by the $200k (assuming a life expectancy of 80 years)Maximum annual and monthly distributions
6020 years$10,000 annually, $833 monthly
6515 years$13,333 annually, $1,111 monthly
70Ten years$20,000 annually, $1,667 monthly
4 more rows

How much money does the average 65 year old retire with? ›

Average retirement savings balance by age
Age groupAverage retirement savings balance amount
45-54$313,220.
55-64$537,560.
65-74$609,230.
75 and older$462,4100.
2 more rows
May 7, 2024

How much does the average 70 year old have in savings? ›

The Federal Reserve also measures median and mean (average) savings across other types of financial assets. According to the data, the average 70-year-old has approximately: $60,000 in transaction accounts (including checking and savings) $127,000 in certificate of deposit (CD) accounts.

Is 100K in retirement by 30 good? ›

“By the time you're 40, you should have three times your annual salary saved. Based on the median income for Americans in this age bracket, $100K between 25-30 years old is pretty good; but you would need to increase your savings to reach your age 40 benchmark.”

How many Americans have $1,000,000 in retirement savings? ›

However, not a huge percentage of retirees end up having that much money. In fact, statistically, around 10% of retirees have $1 million or more in savings.

Why is 1.46 million the new magic number for retirement? ›

Americans' “magic number” for retirement surged to an all-time high – rising much faster than the rate of inflation while swelling more than 50% since the onset of the pandemic.

What is the new number to retire? ›

The new magic number for retirement is $1.46 million. Wall Street Journal personal finance reporter, Anne Tergesen, joins me. Anne, $1.46 million needed to retire, how did that number come about?

Why isn't 65 the magic number for retirement anymore? ›

While that was the promise of it long ago, that's not enough for most people today. Many people need to continue working beyond 65 because they need the economic stability it provides. It's not exactly easy to fund a 30-year retirement, and living until age 95 isn't all that unrealistic any longer.

What is the ideal retirement number? ›

Some strategies call for having 10 to 12 times your final working year's salary or specific multiples of your annual income that increase as you age. Consider when you want to retire, goals, annual salary, expected annual raises, inflation, investment portfolio performance and potential healthcare expenses.

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